New Nik Nanos poll out today. In spite of all the mud slinging by the NDP and the Liberals, Harper’s trustworthy rating actually INCREASED! Layton seems to be falling on everything. Good - the more you see him, the more you just want to slap him. Most importantly, more and more opposition supporters have moved to the undecided column:
The most trustworthy leader
Stephen Harper 31 (+1)
Stephane Dion 14 (NC)
Jack Layton 14 (-7)
Elizabeth May 5 (-3)
Gilles Duceppe 4 (-2)
UNPROMPTED
None of them/Undecided 32 (+12)
The most competent leader
Stephen Harper 39 (NC)
Stephane Dion 12 (-4)
Jack Layton 11 (-4)
Gilles Duceppe 5 (-1)
Elizabeth May 1 (-2)
UNPROMPTED
None of them/Undecided 32 (+10)
The leader with the best vision for Canada’s future
Stephen Harper 31 (-1)
Stephane Dion 14 (-3)
Jack Layton 14 (-4)
Elizabeth May 4 (-2)
Gilles Duceppe 3 (NC)
UNPROMPTED
None of them/Undecided 35 (+11)
Looking more closely the undecided numbers - they’re the largest group in 2 of the 3 categories. For the most part, those undecideds seem to be people who had been parking their votes with the opposition parties. While the fact that they’re undecided doesn’t say great things about Conservative communication strategy, it does say a lot of bad things about opposition strategy. And that’s great news for the Tories and the Greens. Hopefully we’ll take the suburban undecideds, and the Greens will split the urban undecideds - either way, it means the same thing - more Tory seats.
Exit question 1: if we’re so far ahead on vision and leadership - why are the party numbers so close?
Exit question 2: if the one area where we slaughter the opposition is leadership - is it wise strategy for the Liberals to paint the Tories as a one man show?
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